Four large states-Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Telangana—will go to the polls this year The BJP’s vote share was much higher in the 2019 national elections than in the 2018 assembly elections in these states and in Karnataka A similar trend can be seen comparing the 2013 state elections and the 2014 Lok Sabha elections The only caveat is that with the BJP vote share so high and without a national security.

Still, the debacle in Karnataka may force state governments as well as the centre to boost spending on social support schemes in the run-up to the 2024 Lok Sabha elections .